The National Times - Stocks rebound, oil falls in volatile trading

Stocks rebound, oil falls in volatile trading


Stocks rebound, oil falls in volatile trading
Stocks rebound, oil falls in volatile trading

US and European stocks surged on Wednesday while oil fell after days of market turmoil over Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

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Wall Street opened sharply higher, with the S&P 500 and tech-heavy Nasdaq above two percent.

In Europe, Frankfurt's benchmark DAX index soared by more than six percent and the Paris CAC 40 jumped more than five percent in afternoon trading.

London's FTSE 100 was up more than two percent, despite losses earlier in Asia.

"European markets rebound as investors fish for bargains," summarised Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.

Other analysts said investors were hopeful that a diplomatic solution could be found in the conflict in Ukraine.

"Given the state of things in the world, one can easily extrapolate from these indications that market participants are feeling better about the Russia-Ukraine situation," said Briefing.com analyst Patrick O'Hare.

"Market participants should know by now, of course, that talk from Russia is cheap," O'Hare said.

OANDA analyst Craig Erlam told AFP the surge in European stocks is likey a "dead cat bounce" -- a market term referring to a rebound that briefly interrupts a prolonged downturn.

"We appear to be seeing a temporary corrective move," Erlam said, predicting the rebound would not last as Russia continues to wage war on Ukraine.

"The invasion is still happening, sanctions are still being imposed and oil prices are still high," he noted.

"None of that is conducive with a sustainable stock market recovery."

Major Asian markets declined Wednesday as investors dwelled on Washington's Russian oil and gas ban.

EU nations, which receive roughly 40 percent of their gas imports and one quarter of their oil from Russia, opted to set a goal of cutting their Russian gas imports by two-thirds.

Brent crude fell five percent to around $121 per barrel, still a high figure one day after the United States and Britain moved to ban imports of Russian crude as part of Western sanctions on Moscow.

- $240 oil? -

Brent had spiked to $139 on Monday -- about $8 short of an all-time record -- in expectation of the US embargo.

European natural gas prices languished far below this week's record peak, despite fears over the region's reliance on Russian gas.

Europe gas reference Dutch TTF slid 28 percent to 154.53 euros per megawatt hour, having leapt at the start of this week to an all-time high at 345 euros.

Oil prices could rocket further if more nations slap sanctions on Russian crude, according to Bjornar Tonhaugen, head of oil markets at Rystad Energy.

"Oil prices could hit $240 per barrel this summer in the worst-case scenario if Western countries roll out sanctions on Russia's oil exports en masse," Tonhaugen said.

"Market volatility is at an all-time high, with ... the expectation that supply will further tighten due to restrictive sanctions on Russian energy from the West."

The crisis has also fuelled fears that the fragile global recovery from Covid-19 will be replaced by a period of stagflation, in which inflation surges and economies flatline or contract.

Haven investment gold declined Wednesday, one day after hitting a near-record $2,070 per ounce -- the highest since August 2020.

- Key figures around 1440 GMT -

New York - Dow: UP 1.9 percent at 33,264.40 points

Frankfurt - DAX: UP 6.1 percent at 13,608.30

Paris - CAC 40: UP 5.6 percent at 6,298.69

London - FTSE 100: UP 2.2 percent at 7,117.80

EURO STOXX 50: UP 5.8 percent at 3,708.75

Tokyo - Nikkei 225: DOWN 0.3 percent at 24,717.53 (close)

Hong Kong - Hang Seng Index: DOWN 0.7 percent at 20,627.71 (close)

Shanghai - Composite: DOWN 1.1 percent at 3,256.39 (close)

Brent North Sea crude: DOWN 5.0 percent at $121.62 per barrel

West Texas Intermediate: DOWN 4.8 percent at $117.76

Euro/dollar: UP at $1.1041 from $1.0899 Tuesday

Pound/dollar: UP at $1.3173 from $1.3104

Euro/pound: UP at 83.79 pence from 83.18 pence

Dollar/yen: UP at 115.72 yen from 115.67 yen

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M.A.Walters--TNT